"You've Reached Bet the Preakness" [article from Articleranks]

"You've Reached Bet the Preakness"

This Saturday, I'll return in the same sports bar where I watched the Kentucky Derby. Should you read my Derby column, I mentioned to throw out some favorites (Lawyer Ron and Brother Derek), and keep Barbaro, despite history being against him. Unfortunately, I also mentioned i always like America's favorite bet, the exacta. The exacta always seems do-able, and offers to be able to win some real dollars. Along with a field of 20, what were the possibilities of showing up in the Trifecta? Unfortunately, that darn Bluegrass Cat spoiled my day. This was a horse that, by all reports, was "the bust of 2006." That's why it's called gambling. But Triple Crown races are events, and, an advanced fan of sports, you've got to bet the Preakness.

Now, it's exactly about value. Sure, Barbaro looked great in the Kentucky Derby, but is he the sure thing that many analysts and bettors cause him to be in the market to be? Well, maybe. The reason you'll never get value betting on him this Saturday. At best, he'll set off at even money. Consider, until Smarty Jones won in 2004, it absolutely was 25 years or so since an odds-on-favorite won the Preakness Stakes. You'll hear a great deal about "The Bounce Factor," which says that horses usually regress after particularly strong races, specifically when they are ever coming back on short rest. And Barbaro is usually a horse which has never run with fewer than five weeks respite.

Were you aware that 21of a final 22 Preakness Winners ran in the Kentucky Derby? So, think about Brother Derek and Sweetnorthernsaint? Brother Derek, the morning line favorite with the Kentucky Derby, had major positioning problems in the Derby, and spent almost all of the race seeking to break by having a crowded 20-horse field. He lost a shoe yet still finished fourth. He could be primed to operate in the Preakness the race that many had expected him to operate in the Derby. Sweetnorthernsaint, who appeared as being the Derby favorite after a lots of late money was bet on him, is also you to definitely watch. His Beyer speed figures were consistently greater than that surrounding Barbaro prior to Derby. At 4-1, he may certainly be a safe bet.

Only three horses that ran in the Kentucky Derby will run in the Preakness, the littlest number over the last quarter century. So, since, it can be could be better a horse would break that 21 out of 22 streak which I mentioned earlier. Which new horses are possible contenders? Most analysts think Bernardini is the better in the newcomers. The phrase "Speed Freak" has been utilized for Diabolical, and this always perks up my ears. Like Now loves to gun it before it starts, so, maybe, he'll take the lead and keep it. Nothing regarding the other new horses excites me.

So, I'll be splitting up my $50 with a number of bets. At this time, an exacta of Sweetnorthernsaint and Bernardini might appear to be value, and never too outlandish. Scrappy T, the most effective fresh horse this past year, entered second. Diabolical as a long shot to win could possibly be worth a shot. Provided that Brother Derek doesn't slip to worse than 3-1, put him in a few exacta bets. And, in the event you just can't bear not betting on Barbaro, put him inside a few trifectas that include an extended shot. Have a very drink and revel in yourself; there's only one more to go after this one.

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tags:Horses,online raceBOOk,horse racing