"You've Got a chance to Bet the Preakness"
This Saturday, I'll return to their office at the same sports bar where I watched the Kentucky Derby. If you read my Derby column, I told you to toss several favorites (Lawyer Ron and Brother Derek), and keep Barbaro, despite history being against him. Unfortunately, I additionally told you i always like America's favorite bet, the exacta. The exacta always seems do-able, and offers to be able to win some real dollars. Along with a field of 20, what were the possibilities of hitting the Trifecta? Sorry to say, that darn Bluegrass Cat spoiled my day. This is a horse that, by all reports, was "the bust of 2006." That's why it's called gambling. But Triple Crown races are events, and, a high level sports fan, you've got a chance to bet the Preakness.
These times, it's information about value. Sure, Barbaro looked great inside the Kentucky Derby, but is he the sure thing a large number of analysts and bettors cause him to be over to be? Well, maybe. The reason you'll never get value betting on him this Saturday. At best, he'll disappear at even money. Take into account, until Smarty Jones won in 2004, it absolutely was Twenty five years since an odds-on-favorite won the Preakness Stakes. You'll hear a good deal about "The Bounce Factor," which says that horses often regress after particularly strong races, specially when they can be coming back on short rest. And Barbaro is a horse that has never run with lower than five weeks of rest.
Did you know that 21of the very last 22 Preakness Winners ran inside the Kentucky Derby? So, how about Brother Derek and Sweetnorthernsaint? Brother Derek, the morning line favorite for your Kentucky Derby, had major positioning problems inside the Derby, and spent most of the race trying to break by way of a crowded 20-horse field. He lost a shoe but still finished fourth. He or she is primed to perform inside the Preakness the race a large number of had expected him to perform inside the Derby. Sweetnorthernsaint, who ended up as the Derby favorite after the lots of late money was bet on him, is someone to watch. His Beyer speed figures were consistently much better than that regarding Barbaro prior to Derby. At 4-1, he may become a safe bet.
Only three horses that ran inside the Kentucky Derby will run inside the Preakness, the particular number during the last quarter century. So, considering that, the percentages could well be better that a horse would break that 21 away from 22 streak i always mentioned earlier. Which new horses are possible contenders? Most analysts think Bernardini is the best on the newcomers. The word "Speed Freak" has been utilized for Diabolical, which always perks up my ears. Like Now loves to gun it from the beginning, so, maybe, he'll make progress and maintain it. Nothing concerning the other new horses excites me.
So, I'll be divorce my $50 using a variety of bets. Right now, an exacta of Sweetnorthernsaint and Bernardini might appear to be value, but not too outlandish. Scrappy T, the most effective fresh horse a year ago, were only available in second. Diabolical like a long shot to win may very well be worth a go. So long as Brother Derek doesn't slip to worse than 3-1, put him in certain exacta bets. And, if you just can't bear not betting on Barbaro, put him within a couple of trifectas that include an extended shot. Have a drink and revel in yourself; there's only one more to visit following this one.
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tags:Horses,online raceBOOk,horse racing
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